Opta SuperComputer Still Favors Arsenal for EPL Title Despite Man City Win
Opta SuperComputer updated its Premier League title odds after Arsenal's 2-1 defeat at Manchester City on Sunday, April 20, 2026. Before the match, Arsenal held an 85.2% chance of winning the league, while City stood at 14.8%. Following the result, Arsenal's probability fell to 73.0% and City's rose to 27.0%, marking the Gunners' second consecutive loss after a 2-1 home defeat to Bournemouth the previous weekend.
The result narrowed the gap between the sides to three points, with City now within striking distance. Opta notes that City could overtake Arsenal with a win at Burnley on Wednesday, April 22, keeping the title race intensely competitive. For Nigerian EPL fans, the shift affects title predictions, fantasy league decisions, and match‑watching stakes as the season approaches its climax.
While Arsenal remain the favorites, their recent form raises questions about consistency. City’s upcoming fixture against Burnley presents a clear path to reduce the deficit further. Will Arsenal bounce back in their next match to re‑assert dominance, or will City seize the opportunity to take the lead in the title chase?